Nov 20 2023, 15:26

सेलो वर्ल्ड मजबूती से ऊंचे स्तर पर कारोबार कर रहा है; खरीदें, रखें, या बेचें?

सेलो वर्ल्ड तेजी से बढ़ते उपभोक्ता वर्ग में काम करता है और इसका वित्तीय अनुपात अपने प्रतिद्वंद्वियों से बेहतर है। जबकि लेखन उपकरणों के लिए एक छोटी बाजार हिस्सेदारी कंपनी के लिए एक चुनौती है, एक विविध पोर्टफोलियो और मार्जिन की रक्षा करने से उसे बेहतर प्रदर्शन जारी रखने में मदद मिल सकती है।

चार वैकल्पिक निवेश कोषों (तीन आईसीआईसीआई वेंचर द्वारा प्रबंधित और एक टाटा कैपिटल द्वारा प्रबंधित) से 475 करोड़ रुपये मिले, जिन्होंने 5,850 करोड़ रुपये के मूल्यांकन पर कंपनी के परिवर्तनीय शेयर खरीदे। पिछले सोमवार को, इसने अपने आईपीओ इश्यू मूल्य से 28% प्रीमियम पर शेयर बाजार में शुरुआत की। 

हालाँकि तब से शेयरों में कुछ बढ़त कम हो गई है, कंपनी का मूल्य वर्तमान में 13,753 करोड़ रुपये है, जो एक साल पहले से 2.4 गुना अधिक है, और इन संस्थागत निवेशकों के पास अपने शेयरों के रूपांतरण के बाद 8% हिस्सेदारी होगी। इस बीच, प्रमोटर समूह के पास 78% हिस्सेदारी है।

लिस्टिंग के दिन ही, काउंटर पर दो थोक सौदे हुए, जिसमें प्लूटस वेल्थ मैनेजमेंट और रिलायंस कमर्शियल फाइनेंस ने क्रमशः 801 रुपये और 794 रुपये की कीमत पर 12 लाख और 16 लाख शेयर खरीदे। जबकि ऐसी ताजा मांग मौजूदा निवेशकों के तेजी के दृष्टिकोण की पुष्टि के रूप में आई है, सेलो वर्ल्ड ने हाल ही में कुछ मुनाफावसूली देखी है। 

स्टॉक अभी भी अपने निर्गम मूल्य से 22% ऊपर कारोबार कर रहा है, लेकिन लिस्टिंग के दिन दर्ज किए गए INR837 के अपने सर्वकालिक उच्च स्तर से 6% फिसल गया है।



source: et 

Nov 20 2023, 08:15

4 stocks with right PEG ratio:


The problem with PE ratio is that it not only creates a mirage in terms of buying of a stock. But even selling stocks just because P/E is high is also something which leads to selling wealth creators early and then regretting or buying them at a point when they are expensive in real terms. 

It makes sense to pay more for a stock whose earnings grow at a faster rate. If it is midcap stocks then it deserves to be paid more. Now, how much more should be paid would be determined by dividing a company's PE multiple with its growth ratio. But growth is a function of many variables and that is the challenge which one needs to navigate.


 It is better to use PEG ratio when looking for long-term investment, though finding the right ratio is itself a challenge. Also given the huge difference in what is value and what looks cheap due to one financial ratio, more often than not, relying on PE may lead to wrong investment decisions. PEG ratio is much better compared to the commonly used P/E ratio. It helps in avoiding stocks which might appear cheap but actually are not value buys.

To reach PEG ratio forward PE multiple is divided by the 5- year forecasted growth rate to arrive at the PEG ratio. Therefore, while a PEG ratio greater than 1 suggests a stock is overvalued; a PEG ratio of less than or equal to 1 would suggest that the stock is fairly priced. It is an effective financial metric that throws light on a company's price with respect to its future earnings growth potential over a specified period.


Stocks with PEG & Long Term Growth Rates
Upside Potential - Nov 19, 2023
Company Name
RBL Bank
Avg Score
7
Reco
Hold
Analyst Count
18

 Upside Potential%

41.0

PEG Ratio

0.6

LTG Ratio%

21.0

Inst Stake %

35.6

Market Cap Type

Mid

Market Cap Rs Cr

14,132

Company Name
Affle (India)

Avg Score

6

Reco

Buy

Analyst Count

10

 Upside Potential %

36.1

PEG Ratio

1.4

LTG Ratio%

28.5

Inst Stake %

22.8

Market Cap Type

Mid

Market Cap Rs Cr

13,794

Company Name

Manappuram Finance

Avg Score

6

Reco

Buy

Analyst Count

18

 Upside Potential%

35.5

PEG Ratio

0.3

LTG Ratio%

20.4

Inst Stake %

24.7

Market Cap Type

Market Cap Rs Cr

Mid

13,132

Company Name

UTI AMC

Avg Score

7

Reco

Buy

Analyst Count

12

 Upside Potential %

20.7

PEG Ratio

1.0

LTG Ratio%

15.5

Inst Stake %

52.5

Market Cap Type

Mid

10,002

Market Cap Rs Cr

*Calculated from highest price target

source: et 

Nov 20 2023, 07:59

3 insights to kick-start the day!TVS going to Europe:


The stock of TVS Motor surged 4% on Friday. For years, TVS and Bajaj Auto have been exporting India-made bikes of global brands to Europe. TVS now takes the next big step forward and is going to sell under its own brand to European customers, beginning with France in January 2024. 

Thrasio, which kicked off the trend of roll-up e-commerce, wherein a company acquires multiple different online sellers and brands to integrate their operations, has been struggling over the past year. Its troubles coincided with Amazon's own slowdown last year, and the company also saw several top-level exits. Thrasio had also pulled out of its only India investment earlier this year when it divested from Lifelong India.

One more thing. The roll-up e- commerce space, also often referred to as the 'house of brands' model, has also seen several players in India struggling to take off. ET Prime had reported on the troubles in the sector earlier this year.


The path of least resistance. Nifty 50, the benchmark index, is up more than 1,000 points and just 1% away from making another lifetime high.

The language of price. The index corrected 7% from the highs of 20,200 levels to 18,800 levels, amid fears of the US going into a recession and the escalation of war in Israel spiking bond yields. It has very strong support in the 18,600- 18,800 range. After breaking out initially from this range, Nifty retested on this level for the first time. Then it bounced back sharply from the support zone of 18,800.


source:et 

Nov 20 2023, 03:51

5 stocks from two sectors with upside up to 40%:


When oil prices rise, there are a lot of companies whose stock prices suffer because the narrative is that margins are going to get hit. But when oil prices decline, the recovery in these stocks is not at the same pace. But this time for a set of companies it was different. As the oil prices dipped they witnessed a spike in their stock prices, in one case the stock touched a new 52 week high. Despite all the trouble in the Middle East, oil prices have not been able to move up and sustained at higher levels. 

 Oil prices may cross into three digit territory, even then it was not seen as a major issue. Beside the fiscal deficit numbers which have a strong relationship there are many companies whose bottom lines have a strong co- relationship with crude oil prices.


There are a set of companies from the paint, chemical and aviation and oil and gas sector where a failing crude price is a positive. A number of such companies were on the hold list of analysts.



Stocks with Crude connection - Upside potential

Nov 19, 2023

Search in table

Company Name

BPCL

Avg Score

9

Reco

Buy

Analyst Count

30

 Upside Potential %

40.5

Inst Stake%

16.6

1W Returns %

39

Market Cap Rs Cr

Company Name

86,445

Kansai Nerolac Paints

Avg Score

8

Reco

Buy

Analyst Count

19

 Upside Potential %

33.7

Inst Stake %

12.0

1W Returns %

44

Market Cap Rs Cr

25,694

Company Name

Indian Oil Corp

Avg Score

10

Reco

Buy

Analyst Count

30

 Upside Potential %

32.6

Inst Stake %

13.4

1W Returns %

1.1

Market Cap Rs Cr

146,833

Company Name

HPCL

Avg Score

9

Reco

Buy

Analyst Count

31

 Upside Potential%

28.3

Inst Stake %

27.9

1W Returns %

7.1

Market Cap Rs Cr

45,415

Company Name

Asian Paints

Avg Score

6

Reco

Hold

Analyst Count

35

 Upside Potential %

27.8

Inst Stake %

17.3

1W Returns %

1.6

300,229

Market Cap Rs Cr

Calculated from highest price target given by analysts


source et 

Nov 20 2023, 03:40

Cello World is trading firmly above high;buy, hold, or sell?

Cello World operates in a rapidly growing consumer segment and has better financial ratios than its rivals. While a smaller market share for writing instruments is a challenge for the company, having a diversified portfolio and protecting margins can help it continue the outperformance.

INR475 crore from four alternate investment funds (three managed by ICICI Venture and one by Tata Capital), which bought convertible shares of the company at a valuation of INR5,850 crore. Last Monday, it debuted on the bourses at a 28% premium to its IPO issue price. Though the shares have pared some gains since then, the company is currently valued at INR13,753 crore, up 2.4x from a year ago, and these institutional investors will hold an 8% stake post conversion of their shares. The promoter group, meanwhile, holds 78%.

On the listing day itself, two bulk deals happened in the counter with Plutus Wealth Management and Reliance Commercial Finance purchasing 12 lakh and 16 lakh shares at a price of INR801 and INR794, respectively. While such fresh demand came as a validation of the existing investors' bullish view, Cello World has seen some profit-booking of late. The stock is still trading 22% above its issue price but has slipped 6% from its all-time high of INR837 recorded on the listing day.

source: et 

Nov 19 2023, 19:16

लगातार स्कोर सुधार और 26% तक की बढ़त वाले 4 स्टॉक:

ये चयनित स्टॉक अपने समग्र औसत स्कोर में एक मजबूत उर्ध्वगामी प्रक्षेपवक्र दर्शाते हैं जो पांच प्रमुख स्तंभों यानी कमाई, बुनियादी बातों, सापेक्ष मूल्यांकन, जोखिम और मूल्य गति पर आधारित है। इसका तात्पर्य यह है कि दी गई समय सीमा में उनके बाजार दृष्टिकोण में महत्वपूर्ण सुधार हुआ है।


बाजार में अंतर्निहित भावना एक बार फिर तेजी से बदल गई है, चाहे वह इंट्राडे आधार हो, सूचकांक दिन के निचले स्तर से इंट्राडे उलटफेर देखने में सक्षम हैं। यहां तक ​​कि उन दिनों में जब निफ्टी दबाव में था, गिरावट की तुलना में अधिक शेयरों में बढ़त के साथ बाजार की स्थिति बेहतर थी।

जबकि अल्पावधि में चीजें बेहतर हो गई हैं, क्योंकि मूल्यांकन ऊंचे स्तर पर है और घटना के जोखिम हैं, उन शेयरों पर टिके रहना बेहतर होगा जहां पिछले कुछ हफ्तों में किसी न किसी कारण से स्कोर में बदलाव हुआ है। क्योंकि उनमें किसी भी कारण से आए तूफान को झेलने की बेहतर क्षमता होती है।


एक निवेशक के रूप में, किसी को हर क्षेत्र और कंपनी और उनके ऑपरेटिंग मैट्रिक्स को अलग से देखने की जरूरत है। इस समय केवल उन्हीं शेयरों को देखें जहां उस उद्योग को संचालित करने वाले मैक्रोज़ कारकों के संदर्भ में बुनियादी सुधार हुआ है।

दूसरी ओर कृषि जिंसों की कीमतें बढ़ रही हैं, चाहे वह चीनी हो या चावल की कीमतें, दोनों ऊंचे स्तर पर बनी हुई हैं।


18 नवंबर, 2023

ड्रीमफ़ॉल्क्स सेवाएँ

कंपनी का नाम

मजबूत खरीदें

3

26.2

विश्लेषक गणना

 उपरी संभावना (%)

इंस्टेंट हिस्सेदारी 15.6 (%)

मार्केट कैप लघु प्रकार

मार्केट कैप 2,978 करोड़ रुपये

कंपनी का नाम

अरबिंदो फार्मा

रेको

विश्लेषक गणना

 उपरी संभावना (%)

इंस्टेंट हिस्सेदारी 29.8 (%)

मार्केट कैप Туре

बड़ा

बाजार पूंजीकरण करोड़ रु

59,033

26

20.1

कंपनी का नाम

कृष्णा इंस्टीट्यूट ऑफ मेडिकल साइंसेज




source: et 

Nov 19 2023, 19:11

प्राकृतिक गैस क्षेत्र के 4 स्टॉक 20% तक की तेजी के साथ:

दिल्ली में इलेक्ट्रिक वाहन (ईवी) को और अधिक आक्रामक तरीके से आगे बढ़ाने की घोषणा से आईजीएल जैसे शेयरों पर दबाव आया। हालांकि इसमें कोई संदेह नहीं है कि समय के साथ ईवी हावी हो जाएगी, लेकिन क्या इसका मतलब गैस कंपनियों का कारोबार खत्म हो जाना है? उत्तर संभवतः नहीं है, कई अन्य उपयोग के मामले हैं और नकारात्मक प्रभाव के बारे में कथाएं बहुत अधिक खींची जा सकती हैं।


बिजली वितरक या शहरी गैस वितरक जैसे उपयोगिता स्टॉक आमतौर पर ज्यादा ध्यान आकर्षित नहीं करते हैं। इस तथ्य को नजरअंदाज कर दिया जाता है कि नीति में उतार-चढ़ाव के कारण आने वाली सभी चुनौतियों के बावजूद, ये कंपनियां स्थिर आय धाराएं रखने में सक्षम हैं। आम तौर पर उनके मुनाफ़े में कोई तेज़ बढ़ोतरी नहीं देखी जाती है, लेकिन कोई तेज़ गिरावट भी नहीं देखी जाती है।

कई प्रतिकूल परिस्थितियों का सामना करने के बाद, गैस क्षेत्र को कुछ राहत मिलनी शुरू हो गई थी। पिछले कुछ वर्षों में सरकार द्वारा किए गए सुधारों का कुछ प्रभाव उनकी निचली रेखा पर दिखाई दे रहा है। अब फिर से, ईवी के बढ़ने और नीतिगत प्रोत्साहन मिलने के मामले में प्रतिकूल परिस्थितियां हैं। जिस बात को नजरअंदाज किया जा रहा है वह यह है कि पंपों के माध्यम से यात्री कारों की बिक्री के अलावा, व्यवसाय का एक और हिस्सा है, जो घरेलू और औद्योगिक उपयोग के लिए आपूर्ति कर रहा है, जो कम से कम इस समय किसी भी प्रौद्योगिकी या नीतिगत खतरे का सामना नहीं करता है।

एक और बात जिस पर ध्यान देने की जरूरत है वह यह है कि पिछले दो वर्षों में मूल्यांकन समायोजन हुआ है। इनमें से कुछ शेयरों ने 2017 से 2021 के बीच बहुत अच्छा प्रदर्शन किया था। अब समेकन के एक चरण के बाद, मूल्यांकन सामान्य हो गया है, कमाई में वृद्धि ने मूल्य आय गुणकों को नीचे ला दिया है।

गैस उपयोगिता स्टॉक - तेजी की संभावना

18 नवंबर, 2023
कंपनी का नाम
औसत स्कोर
10
रेको
विश्लेषक गणना
24
30
28
जीएसपीएल
खरीदना
खरीदना
उपरी संभावना%

20.0
19.6
उदाहरण हिस्सेदारी %
32.3
29.7
मार्केट कैप प्रकार
बाजार पूंजीकरण करोड़ रु
मध्य
बड़ा
15,547

आईजीएल
एमजीएल

गुजरात गैस
खरीदना

11.6

39.5

मध्य

27,164

पकड़ना

8.7

14.6

बड़ा
10,363
29,253
9

10
6
27

स्रोत: इट




source: et 

Nov 19 2023, 09:21

4 stocks with consistent score improvement and upside up to 26%:


 These selected stocks depict a strong upward trajectory in their overall average score which is based on five key pillars i.e. earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk and price momentum. This implies that there has been a significant improvement in their market outlook in the given time frame.


The underlying sentiment in the market has turned bullish once again, whether it is intraday basis, indices are able to see intraday reversal from lows of the day. Even on days when the nifty was under pressure, the market breadth was better with more advancing stocks than declining. 

While in the short term things have turned better, because valuations are on a higher side and there are event risks, it would be better to stick to stocks where the score has moved in the last couple of weeks due to one or the other reason, as they have better ability to withstand any storm which comes to due to one or the reason.


As an investor, one needs to look at every sector and company and their operating matrix separately. Only look at those stocks at this point of time where there has been a fundamental improvement in terms of macros factors which govern that industry. 

On the other hand agri commodity prices are rising, whether it is sugar or rice prices, both have stayed at elevated levels


Nov 18, 2023

Dreamfolks Services

Company Name

Latest Stock 7 Score

Stock Score 6 1W ago

Stock Score 3 1M ago

Reco

Strong Buy

3

26.2

Analyst Count

 Upside Potential (%)

Inst Stake 15.6 (%)

Market Cap Small Type

Market Cap 2,978 Rs Cr

Company Name

Aurobindo Pharma

Latest Stock 6 Score

Stock Score 5 1W ago

Stock Score 4 1M ago Buy

Reco

Analyst Count

 Upside Potential (%)

Inst Stake 29.8 (%)

Market Cap Туре

Large

Market Cap Rs Cr

59,033

26

20.1

Company Name

Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences

Latest Stock 10 Score

Stock Score 8 1W ago

Stock Score 7

source: et 

Nov 19 2023, 08:04

4 stocks from natural gas sector with upside up to 20%:


An announcement about pushing the electric vehicle (EV) more aggressively in Delhi, brought pressure on the stocks like IGL. While there is no doubt that over a period of time, EV will dominate, does it mean the end of the business of the gas companies? The answer is probably no, there are many other use cases and narrative about negative impact might be over stretched.


Utility stocks, like a power distributor or a city gas distributor normally don't attract much attention. What gets ignored is the fact that despite all the challenges which they face due to flip flop in policy, these companies are able to have stable income streams. They don't normally witness any sharp spike in profit but also don't witness any sharp decline.

After facing many headwinds, the gas sector had started to see some respite. Some impact of reforms undertaken by the government in the last couple of years is showing an impact on their bottom line. Now again, there are headwinds in terms of EV growing and getting a policy push. What might be getting ignored is that beside the sales to passenger cars through pumps, there is another chunk of business, which is supplying to home and also industrial uses, which at least does not face any technology or policy threat at this point of time.

One more thing which needs to be taken into account is that valuation adjustments have taken place in the last two years. Some of these stocks had done extremely well between 2017 to 2021. Now after a phase of consolidation, the valuations have normalised, rise in earnings have brought the price earning multiples down.

Gas utility stocks - Upside potential

Nov 18, 2023
Company Name
Avg Score
10
Reco
Analyst Count
24
30
28
GSPL
Buy
Buy
Upside Potential%

20.0
19.6
Inst Stake %
32.3
29.7
Market Cap Type
Market Cap Rs Cr
Mid
Large
15,547

IGL
MGL

Gujarat Gas
Buy

11.6

39.5

Mid

27,164

Hold

8.7

14.6

Large
10,363
29,253
9

10
6
27

source:et 

Nov 18 2023, 11:01

ICICI Bank's recent underperformances:


ICICI Bank shares have risen substar recent underperformance has more to do with macro factors than fundamentals aspiration to remain asustainable and profitable lender is on the right track.

In the last five years, shares of ICICI Bank jumped by a massive 21% annually,  Nifty 50 which moved up 13.5% annually.

Bakhshi became the poster boy of the banking industry.But the stock has been a laggard in the market in recent months.

In the last one year, ICICI Bank has offered 2.8% returns compared to nearly 8% 50 and 5% in Nifty Bank. Among the top five banks based on market capitalisati rose the most-21%. Rest three-HDFC Bank, State Bank of India, Kotak Mahin are down in the same period.

In fact, most large-cap banks are down but mid-cap or PSU banks managed to  improvement in their stock prices. Since November 2020, the Nifty PSU Bank in outperformed the Nifty Private Bank index.

According to analysts and fund managers, at the core of the underperformance is the macro picture rather than the bank's fundamentals. With interest rates m most banks have suffered as deposit rates started to toe lending rates, which we This put pressure on the net interest margins (NIMS) though profit growth rema NIM is a key profitability metric that measures the difference between a bank's income and interest expenses.


"If the stock price remains subdued when the performance is strong.

What happens if the bank doesn't deliver next year? Isn't it logical to expect a hvaluation today?" asks an investor in the stock for the last three years.



source:et