Oct 21 2023, 11:28
China put India's rubber industry on wobbly grounds:
Global price shifts is not new to the domestic rubber industry. But when one of the world's biggest suppliers skirts with deflation, it is time to be prepared for uncertainty.
in July, the first time in over two years. Though the situation improved in the subsequent month, experts say the economy is still facing deflationary pressures.
This situation in the world's second- largest economy and India's second-largest trading partner is a cause of concern for traders and manufacturer.
India imports a significant volume of rubber from China, and a drop in commodity prices because of deflationary conditions would have a mixed effect on the domestic natural rubber industry, say experts.
India's rubber industry will need to adapt to market fluctuations and explore domestic consumption avenues to mitigate the impact of reduced
international demand, says Ramesh Kejriwal, President of All India Rubber Industry Association (AIRIA).
He says, "it can affect the Indian natural rubber sector in several ways. Reduced Chinese demand would lead to oversupply globally, impacting Indian rubber exports. Indian producers will face challenges due to lower prices, affecting their revenue and profitability.
Industries relying on rubber, like the automotive and manufacturing sectors, may experience cost advantages, boosting their competitiveness. However, domestic rubber growers will encounter income constraints. Shifts in demand for rubber-intensive products, such as tires and industrial goods, might reshape supply chains and competitiveness across industries.
A deflationary environment can encourage investments in research, innovation, and sustainable cultivation practices to meet any rise in demand. The nation should intensify efforts to enhance the quality and yield of natural rubber, promoting self- sufficiency. This strategic shift would also align with India's goals of promoting domestic industries. Moreover, as the deflation-driven emphasis on domestic production strengthens the Make in India initiative, it would drive economic growth and employment opportunities.
Reduced demand in China can lead to a global oversupply, affecting international rubber prices. This will create a more competitive pricing environment, potentially aiding India's drive towards higher consumption.
Global demand recovery and China's economic rebound are significant determinants. India's proactive adaptation and implementation of strategic initiatives can expedite stabilisation for its players. Efforts to enhance domestic rubber cultivation, establish resilient supply networks and explore alternative materials can also help.
source:et
Oct 23 2023, 11:48