Feb 04 2024, 11:15
5 construction & contracting companies having upside potential of up to 30%
While it was an interim budget, on one count it gave more indications even than a full budget. That count is the path which interest rates may follow. If one goes by the reaction of the debt market and the benchmark G-sec yield, the probability of interest rates coming down has increased very sharply. In an economy like India, where cost of capital matters more than anything else, many sectors will see positive impact.
When it comes to companies, there are certain sectors which have stronger co-relationship with interest rates. The reason is that both the demand for their product and service and their own ability to grow and have better margins has strong co-relationship with interest rates.
Let's take a look at the contracting and construction sector. In this case the demand comes from the government for large infrastructure projects including road airports and many others, and the government has to pay interest when it borrows, So when interest rates are lower, the government has more headroom to spend on infrastructure projects, which means higher demand for construction and contracting companies.
While some might argue that governments are not very mindful of interest rates when deciding on projects, in reality the government is. Because overborrowing from the government finally leads to higher interest rates and higher inflation is a major side effect which means losing power which no government wants.
The average score is based upon the five key pillars i.e. earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk and price momentum. The data used in screening the following 5 construction stocks has been gathered from the latest Refinitiv's stock reports dated Feb 3rd, 2024.
Construction Sector stocks - Upside potential
Feb 3, 2024
Company Name
Larsen and Toubro
Avg Score
10
Reco
Buy
Analyst Count
34
Upside Potential %
30.3
Inst Stake%
46.6
Market Cap Type
Large
1Y Returns %
Market Cap Rs Cr
Company Name
57.4
474,852
NCC
Avg Score
8
Reco
Buy
Analyst Count
14
Upside Potential%
20.4
Inst Stake %
24.2
Market Cap Type
Mid
1Y Returns%
132.7
Market Cap Rs Cr
13,511
Company Name
PSP Projects
Avg Score
7
Reco
Strong Buy
Analyst Count
7
Upside Potential %
19.3
Inst Stake%
7.3
Market Cap Type
Small
1Y Returns %
12.0
Market Cap Rs Cr
2,777
Company Name
Ahluwalia Contracts
Avg Score
8
Reco
Hold
Analyst Count
11
Upside Potential %
6.3
Inst Stake%
36.6
Market Cap Type
Mid
1Y Returns %
78.2
Market Cap Rs Cr
5,794
Company Name
ITD Cementation
Avg Score
9
Reco
Buy
Analyst Count
3
Upside Potential%
3.6
Inst Stake%
5.4
Market Cap Type
Mid
1Y Returns%
205.6
Market Cap Rs Cr
5,436
Calculated from highest price target given by analysts
source: et
Feb 04 2024, 11:34